Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 20

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 20, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (19-10) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (18-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Tuesday, December 20, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Nuggets Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 14-13 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 12-17 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+1.5 -115O 236.5 -110-105
Denver Nuggets -1.5 -105U 236.5 -110-115

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 86 games (+30.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 64 of their last 92 games (+30.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 76 games (+24.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 58 of their last 92 games (+20.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 90 games (+18.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.36 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 14-13 (-0.3 Units / -0.94% ROI).

  • 19-10 against the Moneyline (+3.15 Units / 4.85% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 12-17 (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI).

  • 18-11 against the Moneyline (+0.45 Units / 0.58% ROI)
  • 14-15 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI)
  • 15-14 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-33.72 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.44 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games at home (-21.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-20.03 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 79 games (-33.71 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 77 games (-24.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 90 games (-24.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.77 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.97 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. GrizzliesTuesday‘s Game, Dec. 20

  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is probable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Memphis.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Memphis.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Memphis.
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is doubtful for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Memphis.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 20) game against Memphis.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Desmond Bane (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Bane is projected to return in 3-4 weeks.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


Bet now on Nuggets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.