Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 14, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (28-13) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (23-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSIN & BSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Pacers Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 20-19 against the spread, while the Pacers are 26-17 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-8.5 -110O 239.5 -110-350
Indiana Pacers +8.5 -110U 239.5 -110+260

Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Saturday‘s game with 67.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 91 games (+27.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 63 of their last 91 games (+25.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 60 of their last 88 games (+22.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 82 games (+18.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.57 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games at home (+19.16 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 82 games (+18.12 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 82 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games (+17.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 20-19 (-0.9 Units / -2% ROI).

  • 28-13 against the Moneyline (+5.1 Units / 5.02% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -6.65% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 26-17 (+7.3 Units / 15.43% ROI).

  • 23-20 against the Moneyline (+14.45 Units / 26.93% ROI)
  • 20-23 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -11.21% ROI)
  • 23-20 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 2.11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 67 games (-39.15 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 83 games (-34.90 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.22 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 91 games (-41.07 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-26.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 91 games (-24.69 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 42 away games (-22.28 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.14 Units / -24% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

Injury Report: Pacers vs. GrizzliesSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 14

  • Myles Turner (Pacers): Turner did not play in Friday’s game (Jan. 13) against the Hawks.
  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis underwent surgery and is considered out indefinitely, according to Tony East of WTHR Channel 13 Indianapolis.
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): The Pacers announced that Haliburton suffered a sprained elbow and a mild knee bruise and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Aaron Nesmith (Pacers): Nesmith did not play in Friday’s game (Jan. 13) against the Hawks.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): The Pacers announced that Brown is out indefinitely with a stress reaction in his right tibia.
  • Dillon Brooks (Grizzlies): Brooks is questionable for Saturday’s (Jan.14) game against Indiana.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke is questionable for Saturday’s (Jan.14) game against Indiana.
  • John Konchar (Grizzlies): Konchar is out for Saturday’s (Jan.14) game against Indiana.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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