Grizzlies vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Memphis Grizzlies visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Detroit, MI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 30-35 against the spread, while the Pistons are 34-31 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Detroit Pistons U

Pistons vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Pistons.

Pistons vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+14.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 15 away games (+12.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+12.15 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+16.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 30-35 (-8.5 Units / -11.89% ROI).

  • 23-42 against the Moneyline (-22.75 Units / -27.26% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 34-31 (-0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI).

  • 47-18 against the Moneyline (+5.1 Units / 2.64% ROI)
  • 28-36 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units / -16.22% ROI)
  • 36-28 against the Under for game total points (+5.2 Units / 7.27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games (-20.30 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (-15.70 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games at home (-14.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 40 games (-21.50 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.65 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games (-18.64 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.95 Units / -30% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Grizzlies are 8-21 (.276) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Grizzlies are 4-4 (.500) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons are 4-1 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 49% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons have averaged 30.6 points in the paint per game (1,958 points/64 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Pistons have a TS% of 45% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,088 assists/ 1,248 TOs) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.9 steals per game (726 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Grizzlies averaged 5.6 blocks per game (462 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (1,117 points/65 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,223 rebounds/65 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (411 blocks/64 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 10.5 steals per game (669 steals/64 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have blocked 411 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.