Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (37-23) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (13-48)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Rockets Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 28-30 against the spread, while the Rockets are 22-36 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-10.5 -105O 230.5 -110-450
Houston Rockets +10.5 -115U 230.5 -110+340

Rockets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.2% confidence.

Rockets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 64.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games (+20.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 90 games (+19.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 60 of their last 90 games (+19.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 90 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.58 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.14 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.02 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 28-30 (-5 Units / -7.58% ROI).

  • 37-23 against the Moneyline (-1.75 Units / -1.15% ROI)
  • 25-32 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -15.45% ROI)
  • 32-25 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 6.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 22-36 (-17.6 Units / -26.23% ROI).

  • 13-48 against the Moneyline (-19.7 Units / -31.62% ROI)
  • 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.98% ROI)
  • 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 77 games (-29.35 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.32 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 63 games (-20.19 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-19.37 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 63 games (-18.72 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 91 games (-37.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 90 games (-31.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 44 away games (-29.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 64 games (-26.41 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 29 games (-21.93 Units / -43% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Memphis Grizzlies are 3-12 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers has shot 38% from three (673/1,754) this season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 79-23 (.775) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 41.7 rebounds per game (5,624 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 57-5 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Grizzlies are 16-4 (.800) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Rockets are 21-73 (.221) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Rockets are 8-37 (.178) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Rockets are 18-82 (.180) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Houston Rockets are 9-47 (.161) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams.

Injury Report: Rockets vs. GrizzliesWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. did not play in Tuesday’s (Feb 28) game against Denver.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): Adams will be sidelined three to five weeks after sustaining a PCL sprain in his right knee per Grizzlies PR twitter.
  • Jake LaRavia (Grizzlies): LaRavia did not play in Tuesday’s (Feb. 28) game against the Lakers.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 16.8 second chance points per game (3,491 points/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (7,908 points/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 16.5 second chance points per game (1,715 points/104 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,390 assists/ 1,573 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,239 assists/ 890 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (4,867 assists/ 3,196 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (2,174 turnovers/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (858 blocks/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (470 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,905 steals/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,250 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (275 blocks/55 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Rockets have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,895 rebounds/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Rockets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (498 blocks/104 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Rockets have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,841 rebounds/55 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0


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