Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 17, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (41-27) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (18-51)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Friday, March 17, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Spurs Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 32-34 against the spread, while the Spurs are 28-41 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-8.5 -110O 234.5 -110-350
San Antonio Spurs +8.5 -110U 234.5 -110+280

Spurs vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 67.2% confidence.

Spurs vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 84 games (+22.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 61 games (+19.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 91 games (+18.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.44 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+14.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+9.20 Units / 114% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 32-34 (-5.35 Units / -7.16% ROI).

  • 41-27 against the Moneyline (-1.65 Units / -0.99% ROI)
  • 28-37 against the Over for game total points (-12.7 Units / -16.98% ROI)
  • 37-28 against the Under for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 28-41 (-17.1 Units / -22.53% ROI).

  • 18-51 against the Moneyline (-6.25 Units / -8.97% ROI)
  • 39-28 against the Over for game total points (+8.2 Units / 10.8% ROI)
  • 28-39 against the Under for game total points (-14.9 Units / -19.63% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 69 games (-30.42 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.32 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.51 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 23 of their last 62 games (-19.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 44 games (-17.90 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 89 games (-35.54 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 88 games (-33.62 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 72 games (-26.91 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 46 away games (-26.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 37 games (-24.91 Units / -40% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Grizzlies are 52-6 (.897) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

The Grizzlies are 73-9 (.890) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

The Grizzlies are 105-30 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650

The Grizzlies are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Spurs are winless (0-30) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .302

The Spurs are 3-57 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276

The Spurs are 1-27 (.036) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Spurs are 4-56 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

Injury Report: Spurs vs. GrizzliesFriday‘s Game, Mar. 17

  • Keita Bates-Diop (Spurs): Bates-Diop is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Memphis.
  • Devonte’ Graham (Spurs): Graham is out for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Memphis.
  • Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford is out for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Memphis.
  • Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Charles Bassey (Spurs): Bassey is likely out for the rest of the season with a non-displaced fracture of his left patella, according to Tom Osborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. hasn’t played since Mar. 3 against Denver and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Adams continues to recover and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jake LaRavia (Grizzlies): LaRavia is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against San Antonio.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (8,684 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.3 points in the paint per game (12,710 points/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (4,266 points/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Spurs have averaged 1.11 points per shot (302 points/271 shots) in the second half in the last two weeks — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (8,120 points/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Spurs have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (930 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,366 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (2,021 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (502 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (262 blocks/67 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,236 rebounds/67 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,214 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.7 steals per game (571 steals/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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