Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 22

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on PEAC | FDOK

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 13-15 against the spread, while the Thunder are 15-13 against the spread.

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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 77.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Thunder.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 72 games (+18.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2H Spread in 50 of their last 80 games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 22 away games (+15.60 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+12.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 76 games (+24.75 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 40 games at home (+17.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+14.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 13-15 (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI).

• 13-15 against the Moneyline (-6 Units / -15.23% ROI)
• 10-18 against the Over for game total points (-9.8 Units / -31.82% ROI)
• 18-10 against the Under for game total points (+7 Units / 22.73% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 15-13 (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).

• 25-3 against the Moneyline (+15.9 Units / 7.54% ROI)
• 15-13 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI)
• 13-15 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 89 games (-32.35 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-23.85 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-19.60 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 42 of their last 98 games (-19.40 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 52 games (-18.15 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-43.25 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 72 games (-29.75 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.95 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.65 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 41 away games (-20.25 Units / -40% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Thunder are 23-5 (.821) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Thunder are undefeated (11-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Thunder are 13-1 (.929) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .528

The Thunder are undefeated (10-0) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are 23-5 (.821) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Thunder are undefeated (11-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Thunder are 13-1 (.929) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .528

The Thunder are undefeated (10-0) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are 23-5 (.821) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Thunder are undefeated (11-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Thunder are 13-1 (.929) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .528

The Thunder are undefeated (10-0) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

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