- Get expert betting predictions and analysis for Grizzlies vs. Thunder.
- The Thunder are 9.5-point favorites for Thursday’s Game 3.
It’s hard to imagine a change of scenery changing the trick, but the Oklahoma City Thunder will take their 2-0 series lead to the Memphis Grizzlies for Game 3 at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday at FedExForum on TNT.
After winning Game 1 by 51 points, Oklahoma City won Game 2 118-99. The Thunder have won all six matchups against the Grizzlies this season, with an average victory margin of over 20 points.
Here’s a look at the latest NBA odds for the Grizzlies vs. Thunder and my prediction ahead of Thursday’s Game 3:
Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds: Game 3
- Grizzlies spread: +9.5
- Thunder spread: -9.5
- Total: 228.5
Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction: Game 3 Best Bet
Based on the updated NBA betting lines, I‘m combining Jalen Williams’ assist prop (4.5) and Oklahoma City moneyline (-350) for a +110 same-game parlay as my best bet for Game 3 between the Thunder and Grizzlies.
There is no reason to watch this series, but I have cashed the over on Williams’ assist prop in back-to-back games. He has 11 dimes through two games, which has caused the over to shift from -115 to -140 by Game 3.
While it’s still worth playing as a straight bet, I prefer creating an SGP to obtain better odds.
Williams averaged 5.1 assists per game during the regular season. He has established himself as the No. 2 option behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, which is crucial for the Thunder’s hopes of winning the championship.
This is a favorable matchup considering how fast the Grizzlies play, especially compared to the other Round 1 matchups. I project Williams to clear this assist prop on Thursday.
Game 3 prediction: Jalen Williams over 4.5 assists and Thunder ML (+110)
Grizzlies vs. Thunder Series Schedule
| Game | Date | Time (ET) | TV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1 | Sunday, April 20 | 1 p.m. ET | ABC |
| Game 2 | Tuesday, April 22 | 7:30 p.m. ET | TNT |
| Game 3 | Thursday, April 24 | 9:30 p.m. ET | TNT |
| Game 4 | Saturday, April 26 | 3:30 p.m. ET | TNT |
| Game 5 | Monday, April 28 | TBD | TBD |
| Game 6 | Thursday, May 1 | TBD | TBD |
| Game 7 | Saturday, May 3 | TBD | TBD |
Grizzlies vs. Thunder Series History
| Date | Home | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 22 | OKC | OKC 118, MEM 99 | OKC -14 | Under 230 |
| April 20 | OKC | OKC 131, MEM 80 | OKC -13 | Under 232 |
| March 27 | OKC | OKC 125, MEM 104 | OKC -10.5 | Under 237 |
| March 5 | MEM | OKC 120, MEM 103 | OKC -7 | Under 253 |
| Feb. 8 | MEM | OKC 125, MEM 112 | OKC -1.5 | Under 244 |
| Dec. 29 | OKC | OKC 130, MEM 106 | OKC -8 | Push 236 |
Grizzlies Betting Insights & Trends
Thunder Betting Insights & Trends
When Was the Last Time the Grizzlies Won a Playoff Series?
The Grizzlies last won a playoff series in 2022, defeating the Minnesota Timberwolves in the opening round. Memphis was eliminated in the first round in 2023.
When Was the Last Time the Thunder Won a Playoff Series?
The Thunder won a playoff series in 2024, earning a 4-0 sweep of the New Orleans Pelicans in the first round. The Thunder haven’t advanced past the second round since 2016.
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