Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (20-11) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (15-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Sunday, December 25, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ABC & ABC

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Warriors Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 15-14 against the spread, while the Warriors are 14-19 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-7.5 -115O 232.5 -110-300
Golden State Warriors +7.5 -105U 232.5 -110+250

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Sunday‘s game with 63.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 88 games (+30.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 63 of their last 91 games (+28.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 78 games (+24.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 72 games (+19.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 92 games (+18.44 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+15.96 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games at home (+14.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 15-14 (-0.4 Units / -1.17% ROI).

  • 20-11 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 4.36% ROI)
  • 14-16 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.56% ROI)
  • 16-14 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 14-19 (-6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI).

  • 15-18 against the Moneyline (-18.8 Units / -23.08% ROI)
  • 20-13 against the Over for game total points (+5.7 Units / 15.7% ROI)
  • 13-20 against the Under for game total points (-9 Units / -24.79% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 92 games (-31.81 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.22 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 95 games (-26.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-23.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 76 games (-22.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 81 games (-36.07 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 92 games (-24.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 79 games (-24.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-23.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.29 Units / -25% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Warriors vs. GrizzliesSunday‘s Game, Dec. 25

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): The Warriors have listed Wiggins as OUT for Sunday’s game (Dec. 25) against the Grizzlies.
  • JaMychal Green (Warriors): The Warriors placed Green in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Draymond Green (Warriors): The Warriors have listed Green as QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s game (Dec. 25) against the Grizzlies.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Curry is making progress and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Kennedy Chandler (Grizzlies): Chandler is probable for Sunday’s (Dec. 25) game against Golden State.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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