Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 14

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 14, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (5-0) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (4-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Monday, November 14, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSWI & BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Bucks Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 6-6 against the spread, while the Bucks are 9-3 against the spread.


Bet now on Bucks vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Hawks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+4.5 -115O 225.5 -110150
Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 -105U 225.5 -110-185

Bucks vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 59.6% confidence.

Bucks vs Hawks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.12 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 89 games (+8.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.12 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 67 games (+20.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+18.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 87 games (+15.67 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 93 games (+15.01 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.64 Units / 52% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI).

  • 8-5 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -1.07% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 9-3 (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 10-2 against the Moneyline (+7.35 Units / 19.19% ROI)
  • 4-8 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 8-4 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 59 games (-28.08 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 93 games (-27.51 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-26.63 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (-26.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-24.21 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-21.13 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.59 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 30 away games (-17.33 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 88 games (-16.22 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Hawks are 21-14 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Hawks are 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606

The Hawks are 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hawks are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Bucks vs. HawksMonday‘s Game, Nov. 14

  • Jrue Holiday (Bucks): Holiday did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 11).
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 11).
  • A.J. Green (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Green will miss about three weeks.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks): Bogdanovic has not played this season yet as he recovers from a knee injury and no timetable has been announced for his return to action.

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 28% from three (49/178) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks are shooting 29% from three (62/210) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,497 points/1,235 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hawks have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (667 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,170 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (558 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Bucks vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.