Basketball
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 29

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 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSWI & BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Bucks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 2-2 against the spread, while the Bucks are 4-0 against the spread.

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Hawks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+4.5 -105O 228.5 -110165
Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 -115U 228.5 -110-200

Bucks vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 65.8% confidence.

Bucks vs Hawks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+8.33 Units / 8% ROI)
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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 59 games (+19.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 27 games (+18.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 92 games (+18.03 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.25 Units / 37% ROI)
    •

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI).

    • 4-1 against the Moneyline (-0.55 Units / -2.9% ROI)
    • 3-2 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
    • 2-3 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 4-0 (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

    • 4-0 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 32.5% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games at home (-30.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 92 games (-29.82 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 48 games at home (-24.93 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 63 games (-24.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 games (-23.91 Units / -30% ROI)
    •
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-25.14 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.61 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.56 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 43 away games (-19.00 Units / -39% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

    The Hawks are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    The Hawks were 27-10 (.730) when they win the turnover margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

    The Hawks are 42-9 (.824) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .732

    The Hawks were 17-10 (.630) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

    The Bucks were 15-5 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

    The Bucks were 21-9 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

    The Bucks are 80-17 (.825) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

    The Bucks are 30-22 (.577) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    Injury Report: Bucks vs. Hawks – Saturday‘s Game, Oct. 29

  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
    •
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks): Bogdanovic did not play in Friday’s game (Oct. 28) against the Pistons.
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    Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Hawks averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (906 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Hawks shot 40% from three (545/1,374) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Hawks shot 30% from three (99/334) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

    The Hawks averaged 3.7 fast break points per game (295 points/80 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.8

    Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks averaged 115.4 points per game (9,461 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

    The Bucks had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Bucks had an eFG% of 55% last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Bucks had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Hawks averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (526 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,072 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Hawks averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,720 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,709 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Bucks averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (659 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Bucks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (325 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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