Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 12, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (17-9) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Monday, December 12, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSSEX

The Atlanta Hawks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Hawks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 11-15 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 12-12 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+9.5 -110O 225.5 -115+333
Memphis Grizzlies -9.5 -110U 225.5 -115-450

Grizzlies vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Monday‘s game with 66.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 37 away games (+18.06 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 2Q Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.64 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 66 of their last 93 games (+35.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 57 of their last 83 games (+29.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 62 of their last 93 games (+24.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 59 of their last 93 games (+21.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 87 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 11-15 (-5.5 Units / -18.52% ROI).

  • 14-13 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -10.39% ROI)
  • 15-12 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 12-15 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 12-12 (-1.2 Units / -4.2% ROI).

  • 17-9 against the Moneyline (+6.75 Units / 12.59% ROI)
  • 12-13 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.04% ROI)
  • 13-12 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 76 games (-31.98 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 74 games (-25.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-23.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 62 games (-20.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 93 games (-19.81 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 90 games (-29.11 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 90 games (-27.12 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 37 away games (-22.95 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 69 games (-21.44 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 away games (-18.75 Units / -25% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Hawks are 21-14 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Hawks are 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606

The Hawks are 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hawks are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. HawksMonday‘s Game, Dec. 12

  • Desmond Bane (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Bane is projected to return in 3-4 weeks.
  • Ja Morant (Grizzlies): Morant is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Atlanta.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): Adams is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Atlanta.
  • Jake LaRavia (Grizzlies): LaRavia is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Atlanta.
  • John Collins (Hawks): Collins is expected to miss a minimum of two weeks, according to Shams Charania of the Athletic. .
  • Dejounte Murray (Hawks): Murray is expected to miss two weeks with a left ankle sprain, according to Shams Charania of The Athetic.

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 28% from three (49/178) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks are shooting 29% from three (62/210) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,497 points/1,235 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hawks have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (667 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,170 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (558 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.