- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SUN | FDSE
The Atlanta Hawks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL, FL, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Hawks vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 28-30 against the spread, while the Heat are 23-32 against the spread.
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Hawks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Atlanta Hawks | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Heat.
Heat vs Hawks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.
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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 53 games (+18.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.81 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 away games (+14.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+14.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 85 games (+12.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 47 of their last 83 games (+8.97 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 28-30 (-5 Units / -7.84% ROI).
- 27-31 against the Moneyline (+8.3 Units / 10.22% ROI)
- 33-25 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 8.62% ROI)
- 25-33 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -17.71% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 23-32 (-12.2 Units / -19.81% ROI).
- 26-30 against the Moneyline (-9.4 Units / -9.88% ROI)
- 30-26 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI)
- 26-30 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -11.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 89 games (-17.73 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-16.80 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 88 games (-14.40 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 games at home (-14.25 Units / -14% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.85 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 60 games (-16.43 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.90 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
The Hawks are 10-21 (.323) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Hawks were 2-20 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178
The Hawks are 5-9 (.357) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Heat are 32-3 (.914) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .821
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat are 4-9 (.308) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have 24.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Hawks shot 47% (3,529/7,584) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Hawks have averaged 29.3 assists per game (1,639 assists/56 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.4
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (610 points/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 10.0 steals per game (561 steals/56 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Hawks have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,804 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (482 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (218 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (202 blocks/53 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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