Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Atlanta Hawks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Dallas, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Hawks vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 36-32 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-39 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.36 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 36-32 (+0.85 Units / 1.14% ROI).

  • 37-31 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 2.65% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-39 (-12.95 Units / -17.05% ROI).

  • 23-46 against the Moneyline (-12.35 Units / -14.03% ROI)
  • 29-40 against the Over for game total points (-15 Units / -19.76% ROI)
  • 40-29 against the Under for game total points (+8.1 Units / 10.67% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-21.95 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-18.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-17.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-15.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-16.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.26 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-14.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.80 Units / -30% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Hawks are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .368

The Hawks were 5-2 (.714) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hawks were 12-1 (.923) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

The Hawks are 14-26 (.350) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Mavericks are 5-6 (.455) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

The Mavericks are 8-29 (.216) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks are 5-21 (.192) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 44% from three (127/289) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Hawks have averaged 30.4 assists per game (2,065 assists/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,008 assists/ 464 TOs) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks have a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (363/1,098) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks averaged 9.7 steals per game (798 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Hawks have averaged 9.9 steals per game (743 steals/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,566 rebounds/69 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (359 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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