- The Nuggets (36-16) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (27-26)
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
- Watch the game on ALT & BSSE
The Atlanta Hawks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Hawks vs Nuggets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 24-28 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 27-24 against the spread.
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Hawks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Atlanta Hawks | +7.5 -110 | O 231.5 -110 | +240 |
Denver Nuggets | -7.5 -110 | U 231.5 -110 | -300 |
Nuggets vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 64.9% confidence.
Nuggets vs Hawks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 away games (+19.06 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.76 Units / 21% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 48 games (+20.46 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 22 games at home (+17.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.09 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 49 of their last 86 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 24-28 (-6.8 Units / -11.66% ROI).
- 27-26 against the Moneyline (-8.75 Units / -9.83% ROI)
- 31-22 against the Over for game total points (+6.8 Units / 11.66% ROI)
- 22-31 against the Under for game total points (-12.1 Units / -20.75% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 27-24 (+0.6 Units / 1.05% ROI).
- 36-16 against the Moneyline (+13.35 Units / 9.69% ROI)
- 25-27 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -8.22% ROI)
- 27-25 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.87% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 75 games (-29.22 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 88 games (-24.53 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.37 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 78 games (-21.03 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.05 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 91 games (-27.79 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 91 games (-27.64 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.94 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 76 games (-20.09 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 91 games (-18.47 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Atlanta Hawks are 18-32 (.360) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (1,585 turnovers/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Hawks are 18-32 (.360) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
The Hawks are 43-28 (.606) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Hawks are 21-11 (.656) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .517
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Denver Nuggets are 15-1 (.938) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (688 turnovers/47 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.
The Denver Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,777 turnovers/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.
The Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576
The Nuggets are 40-8 (.833) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Hawks – Saturday‘s Game, Feb. 4
- Aaron Gordon (Nuggets): Gordon is questionable for Saturday’s (Feb.4) game against Atlanta.
- Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is questionable for Saturday’s (Feb.4) game against Atlanta.
- Jack White (Nuggets): White hasn’t played since Jan. 17 against Portland. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie remains without a timetable to make his NBA debut, according to Katy Winge of Altitude Sports.
- Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (1,506 turnovers/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Hawks have a 21% free throw rate (461 free throw attempts/2,155 field goal attempts) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%
The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,136 assists/ 582 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Hawks have averaged 4.5 fast break points per game (909 points/201 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.9
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (88/209) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%
The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,924/5,710) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,579/8,970) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (687 steals/101 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,418 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hawks have blocked 235 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (915 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (512 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (835 blocks/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (397 blocks/98 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (438 blocks/103 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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