Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Friday, October 28, 2022 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Hawks vs Pistons Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 1-2 against the spread, while the Pistons are 2-3 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks-6.5 -110O 229.5 -110-250
Detroit Pistons +6.5 -110U 229.5 -110200

Pistons vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 73.4% confidence.

Pistons vs Hawks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.85 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+19.77 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 54 games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 54 games (+15.46 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.83 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).

    • 3-1 against the Moneyline (-1.55 Units / -9.37% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

    • 1-4 against the Moneyline (-3.05 Units / -53.51% ROI)
    • 4-1 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI)
    • 1-4 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 82 games (-21.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 66 games (-19.33 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.51 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.14 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.36 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 89 games (-27.52 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 89 games (-19.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.54 Units / -19% ROI)
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    Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

    The Hawks are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    The Hawks were 27-10 (.730) when they win the turnover margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

    The Hawks are 42-9 (.824) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .732

    The Hawks were 17-10 (.630) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

    The Pistons were 1-10 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    The Pistons were 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

    The Pistons are 6-60 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

    The Pistons are 18-58 (.237) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    Injury Report: Pistons vs. HawksFriday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks will miss the start of the season as he recovers from offseason foot surgery.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): Bagley III will miss 3-4 weeks, according to Chris Haynes of Yahoo.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks): Bogdanovic is out for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Detroit.
  • Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Hawks averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (906 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Hawks shot 40% from three (545/1,374) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Hawks shot 30% from three (99/334) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

    The Hawks averaged 3.7 fast break points per game (295 points/80 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.8

    Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Pistons had an eFG% of 49% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Pistons had an eFG% of 49% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

    The Pistons averaged 102.7 points per game (8,115 points/79 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

    The Pistons shot 43% (2,957/6,873) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Hawks averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (526 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,072 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Hawks averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,720 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Pistons averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,486 rebounds/79 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Pistons averaged 7.7 steals per game (606 steals/79 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,843 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Pistons have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (372 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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