Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 14

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Hawk Raptors logo on the left and Toronto Raptors logo on the right
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 14, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors (19-23) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (20-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on & BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Raptors Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 16-25 against the spread, while the Raptors are 21-21 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+7.5 -115O 231.5 -110+220
Toronto Raptors -7.5 -105U 231.5 -110-275

Raptors vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Saturday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 45 away games (+19.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.96 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 91 games (+17.36 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.79 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+10.84 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.41 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+9.46 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 16-25 (-11.5 Units / -24.89% ROI).

  • 20-22 against the Moneyline (-11.3 Units / -15.07% ROI)
  • 23-19 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 4.55% ROI)
  • 19-23 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -13.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 21-21 (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 19-23 against the Moneyline (-14.1 Units / -18% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.38% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -11.26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 75 games (-26.77 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-19.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.19 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (-15.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games at home (-14.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 76 games (-28.27 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 87 games (-24.09 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 91 games (-23.64 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 84 games (-23.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 53 games (-17.60 Units / -29% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Hawks are 21-14 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Hawks are 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606

The Hawks are 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hawks are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Raptors vs. HawksSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 14

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
  • Clint Capela (Hawks): Capela did not play in Friday’s game (Jan. 13) against the Pacers.

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 28% from three (49/178) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks are shooting 29% from three (62/210) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,497 points/1,235 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hawks have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (667 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,170 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (558 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.