Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks (10-7) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (3-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Friday, November 25, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Rockets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 8-9 against the spread, while the Rockets are 7-8 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks-7.5 -115O 231.5 -110-300
Houston Rockets +7.5 -105U 231.5 -110+240

Rockets vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 68.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 32 away games (+15.12 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.81 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 games (+7.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.93 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.81 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 8-9 (-1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI).

  • 11-7 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 2.85% ROI)
  • 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -9.63% ROI).

  • 3-14 against the Moneyline (-9.05 Units / -53.24% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 53 games (-27.05 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.08 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 74 games (-20.64 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 87 games (-22.51 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.97 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-20.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 32 away games (-19.41 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.51 Units / -18% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Hawks are 21-14 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Hawks are 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606

The Hawks are 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hawks are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Injury Report: Rockets vs. HawksFriday‘s Game, Nov. 25

  • Bruno Fernando (Rockets): Fernando is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks, according to Jonathan Feigen of the Houston Chronicle.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets announced that Tate will be re-evaluated in two to three weeks.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks): Bogdanovic has not played this season yet as he recovers from a knee injury and no timetable has been announced for his return to action.

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 28% from three (49/178) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks are shooting 29% from three (62/210) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,497 points/1,235 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hawks have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (667 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,170 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (558 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.