Hawks vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FDSE | NSBA

The Atlanta Hawks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Hawks vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 20-20 against the spread, while the Warriors are 18-21 against the spread.

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Hawks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Warriors.

Warriors vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.

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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 20-20 (-1.95 Units / -4.44% ROI).

• 19-21 against the Moneyline (-5.7 Units / -8.67% ROI)
• 21-19 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI)
• 19-21 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 18-21 (-5.1 Units / -11.89% ROI).

• 21-18 against the Moneyline (-8.3 Units / -8.46% ROI)
• 23-16 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 12.59% ROI)
• 16-23 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -21.68% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-28.40 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 50 games (-24.30 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (-16.15 Units / -14% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:

• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 away games (-20.05 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 games (-14.35 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.55 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.25 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.50 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Player Injuries for Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors
• Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Warriors averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,330 rebounds/39 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks were 19-25 (.432) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Hawks were 5-2 (.714) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Hawks are 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,330 rebounds/39 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks were 19-25 (.432) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Hawks were 5-2 (.714) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Hawks are 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,330 rebounds/39 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks were 19-25 (.432) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Hawks were 5-2 (.714) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Hawks are 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

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