Heat vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 26

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | NSPA

The Miami Heat visit Xfinity Mobile Arena to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs 76ers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 33-25 against the spread, while the 76ers are 32-25 against the spread.

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Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

76ers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the 76ers will win Thursday‘s game with 64.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and 76ers.

76ers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 59.4% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+20.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 40 away games (+17.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)

76ers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 33-25 (+5.5 Units / 8.47% ROI).

• 31-28 against the Moneyline (-1.4 Units / -1.36% ROI)
• 30-28 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.23% ROI)
• 28-30 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -7.7% ROI)

Philadelphia 76ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 32-25 (+4.5 Units / 7.05% ROI).

• 32-26 against the Moneyline (-1.15 Units / -1.07% ROI)
• 30-27 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.47% ROI)
• 27-30 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -9.4% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the 76ers:

• The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-25.00 Units / -54% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.25 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.03 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-19.95 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-18.90 Units / -23% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.75 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.75 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.05 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.90 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.49 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Philadelphia 76ers
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Philadelphia 76ers Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Philadelphia 76ers Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .389

The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Heat are 7-19 (.269) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .417

The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers were 3-20 (.130) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The 76ers are undefeated (7-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .625

The 76ers were 4-29 (.121) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247

The 76ers are 18-15 (.545) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .470

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 122.0 points per game (3,417 points/28 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

The Heat have averaged 61.8 points per game (3,649 points/59 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1

The Heat have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (614 points/59 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (836 turnovers/59 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 54.0 points per game (3,131 points/58 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7

The 76ers averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers have made 12.7 three-pointers per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The 76ers averaged 15.0 second chance points per game (1,233 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,220 rebounds/59 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (415 blocks/110 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (845 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,596 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (7,344 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,559 rebounds/140 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

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