Heat vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on NSPA | SUN

The Miami Heat visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Philadelphia, PA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs 76ers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 21-27 against the spread, while the 76ers are 19-28 against the spread.


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Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat O
Philadelphia 76ers U

76ers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and 76ers.

76ers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 away games (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 46 away games (+14.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+9.55 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 90 games (+23.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+15.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 21-27 (-8.7 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 24-24 against the Moneyline (-3.85 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 27-21 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 21-27 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -16.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 19-28 (-11.8 Units / -21.91% ROI).

  • 20-29 against the Moneyline (-5 Units / -6.73% ROI)
  • 27-20 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 9.28% ROI)
  • 20-27 against the Under for game total points (-9.7 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 90 games (-36.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 90 games (-28.77 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 53 games (-21.91 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 90 games (-21.49 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-20.52 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.53 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 41 away games (-15.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 41 away games (-14.05 Units / -29% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 17-3 (.850) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Heat are 3-14 (.176) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350

The Heat are 23-4 (.852) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The 76ers have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers are 32-11 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 50.4 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The 76ers are 6-6 (.500) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The 76ers are 27-3 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .824

The 76ers were 38-11 (.776) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (248 points/48 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Heat have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (689 points/130 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,041 assists/ 984 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The 76ers have a 27% free throw rate (1,131 free throw attempts/4,206 field goal attempts) this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The 76ers have 23.1 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (462 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 31.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,536 rebounds/49 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The 76ers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,321 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers have allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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