Heat vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 16

• The Bucks (58-24) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Heat (44-38)
• Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
• Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 5:30pm EDT
• Watch the game on BSWIX

The Miami Heat visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Heat vs Bucks Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 32-50 against the spread, while the Bucks are 43-34 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Bucks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 71.8% confidence.

Bucks vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 86 games (+13.87 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 away games (+13.72 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+11.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 28 away games (+11.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 91 games (+11.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 94 games (+20.02 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 92 games (+16.20 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 56 of their last 92 games (+16.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.15 Units / 18% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 32-50 (-23 Units / -24.88% ROI).

• 45-39 against the Moneyline (-17.05 Units / -10.36% ROI)
• 40-43 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -7.9% ROI)
• 43-40 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -1.08% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 43-34 (+5.6 Units / 6.21% ROI).

• 58-24 against the Moneyline (+13.3 Units / 5.47% ROI)
• 41-41 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 41-41 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 94 games (-32.14 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 88 games (-26.72 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 84 games (-26.43 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.85 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.70 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 90 games (-25.40 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-24.65 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-24.40 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 37 away games (-21.92 Units / -49% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 96 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Injury Report: Bucks vs. Heat – Sunday‘s Game, Apr. 16

• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo did not play in Sunday’s (Apr. 9) game against Toronto.
• A.J. Green (Bucks): Green did not play in Sunday’s (Apr. 9) game against Toronto.
• Pat Connaughton (Bucks): Connaughton did not play in Sunday’s (Apr. 9) game against Toronto.
• Grayson Allen (Bucks): Allen did not play in Sunday’s (Apr. 9) game against Toronto.
• Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to rehab his knee for the next week and is hoping to come back for the start of the playoffs, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.

• Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 16) game against Milwaukee.
• Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 16) game against Milwaukee.
• Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic hasn’t played since Dec. 26 against Minnesota and remains without a timetable to return.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

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