Heat vs Bulls Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Jan. 29

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | CHS+

The Miami Heat visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Chicago, IL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Bulls Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 26-21 against the spread, while the Bulls are 22-23 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Bulls vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Thursday‘s game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Bulls.

Bulls vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 away games (+21.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 45 away games (+20.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.06 Units / 12% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 26-21 (+2.9 Units / 5.49% ROI).

• 25-23 against the Moneyline (+1.4 Units / 1.82% ROI)
• 25-22 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI)
• 22-25 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.42% ROI)

Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.39% ROI).

• 23-24 against the Moneyline (+2.35 Units / 3.53% ROI)
• 21-25 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -12.57% ROI)
• 25-21 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 3.68% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:

• The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games at home (-21.75 Units / -63% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.50 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-14.50 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.46 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.80 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 35 games (-22.15 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games (-18.80 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.33 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-15.22 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.45 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Chicago Bulls
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Chicago Bulls Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Chicago Bulls Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Heat were 9-15 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Heat are 17-9 (.654) when they win the turnover margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Heat are 3-14 (.176) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Bulls are winless (0-20) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Bulls were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .187

The Bulls were 2-9 (.182) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Bulls were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (504 points/48 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat have averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (2,602 points/48 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Heat have averaged 62.1 points per game (2,981 points/48 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 3.4 fast break points per game (200 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3

The Bulls have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (1,214 points/129 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,404 assists/ 663 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Bulls have averaged 14.8 assists per game (696 assists/47 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (800 blocks/212 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (397 blocks/105 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (403 blocks/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,881 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,131 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bulls averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,849 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls stole the ball 638 times in the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams

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