Heat vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 20, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -1.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Miami Heat visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chicago.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Bulls Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 5-8 against the spread, while the Bulls are 5-8 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-1.5 -110O 208.5 -110-120
Chicago Bulls +1.5 -110U 208.5 -110+100

Bulls vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Heat and Bulls, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Bulls vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.6% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 87 of their last 100 games (+72.35 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games (+24.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 92 games (+20.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 58 of their last 93 games (+19.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 69 of their last 82 games (+53.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+19.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+13.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI).

  • 8-5 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 10.81% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -24.6% ROI).

  • 5-9 against the Moneyline (-6 Units / -31.5% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 82 games (-64.55 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-27.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-25.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-19.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 100 games (-84.95 Units / -76% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 96 games (-27.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 98 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 100 games (-22.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-20.15 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Heat were 19-9 (.679) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Heat were 16-6 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Heat are 20-11 (.645) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Bulls were 1-12 (.077) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Bulls are 1-14 (.067) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .190

The Bulls were 24-6 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Bulls are 16-37 (.302) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

Injury Report: Bulls vs. HeatMonday‘s Game, Nov. 20

  • Alex Caruso (Bulls): Caruso is probable for Monday’s (Nov. 20) game against Miami.
  • Dalen Terry (Bulls): Terry is doubtful for Monday’s (Nov. 20) game against Miami.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): Ball will miss the 2023-24 season while recovering from surgery.
  • R.J. Hampton (Heat): Hampton is out for Monday’s (Nov. 20) game against Chicago.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Tyler Herro has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 ankle sprain. He will be in a walking boot for 10 days and will be re-evaluated in 2 weeks.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat have averaged 52.6 points per game (4,894 points/93 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.2

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 11.1 turnovers per game (122 turnovers/11 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

The Bulls have averaged 4.6 turnovers per game (51 turnovers/11 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Bulls have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (249 assists/ 122 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (285 blocks/93 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (149 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,735 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (360 rebounds/11 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Bulls have 104 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (52 blocks/11 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams


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