Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (30-21) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat (28-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
  • Tuesday, January 31, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOH & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Heat vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 20-29 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 25-23 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+4.5 -115O 210.5 -110+155
Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 -105U 210.5 -110-190

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Tuesday‘s game with 60.7% confidence.

Cavaliers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.84 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.61 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+14.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.62 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+10.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.52 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 20-29 (-11.9 Units / -21.21% ROI).

  • 28-23 against the Moneyline (-12.95 Units / -13.17% ROI)
  • 22-28 against the Over for game total points (-8.8 Units / -15.69% ROI)
  • 28-22 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 25-23 (-0.3 Units / -0.52% ROI).

  • 31-21 against the Moneyline (-1.5 Units / -1.39% ROI)
  • 24-28 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 28-24 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 78 games (-26.44 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.54 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-23.50 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 54 games (-20.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.16 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 54 games (-20.76 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 99 games (-19.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 66 games (-18.36 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 100 games (-17.89 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 95 games (-16.85 Units / -12% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Heat are 42-20 (.677) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Heat are 30-15 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Heat are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Heat are 32-13 (.711) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Cavaliers are 1-19 (.050) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

The Cavaliers are 41-20 (.672) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Cavaliers are 36-35 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Cavaliers are 12-22 (.353) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. HeatTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 31

  • Kevin Love (Cavaliers): Love is probable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 31) game against Miami.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): Windler hasn’t played this season and he remains out indefinitely.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is sidelined for 4 weeks with a lower-back stress reaction and will then be re-evaluated.
  • Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 31) game against the Cavaliers.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 31) game against the Cavaliers.
  • Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson will have surgery and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 51.6 points per game (2,479 points/48 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.9

The Heat have averaged 108.6 points per game (5,215 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.2

The Heat are shooting 31% from three (256/816) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have averaged 42.7 points in the paint per game (2,776 points/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,605 points/1,873 shots) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.32 points per shot (5,361 points/4,047 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (195 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (695 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (144 blocks/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (409 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (201 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (435 blocks/102 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (312 steals/48 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (863 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.