- The Cavaliers (9-6) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Heat (7-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
- Sunday, November 20, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSOH & BSSUN
The Miami Heat visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland.
The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The Heat vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 4-12 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 8-6 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +9.5 -105 | O 212.5 -115 | 340 |
Cleveland Cavaliers | -9.5 -115 | U 212.5 -115 | -450 |
Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 72.0% confidence.
Cavaliers vs Heat Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 88 games (+19.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 95 games (+16.54 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 54 of their last 94 games (+13.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 27 away games (+12.26 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 91 games (+11.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Cavaliers Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 4-12 (-9.2 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- 7-9 against the Moneyline (-6.95 Units / -22.9% ROI)
- 8-7 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 1.7% ROI)
- 7-8 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.23% ROI)
Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 8-6 (+1.4 Units / 8.46% ROI).
- 9-6 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 10.28% ROI)
- 9-6 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
- 6-9 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Cavaliers, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 69 games (-16.72 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.53 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-14.90 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 76 games (-14.54 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 95 games (-31.06 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 99 games (-27.75 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-25.76 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 98 games (-22.55 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 95 games (-20.72 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Cavaliers are 10-9 (.526) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
The Cavaliers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Cavaliers are 25-37 (.403) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Cavaliers are 14-63 (.182) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308
Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. Heat – Sunday‘s Game, Nov. 20
- Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio will miss the start of the season as he recovers from a left ACL tear.
- Dean Wade (Cavaliers): Wade did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Charlotte.
- Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Windler will miss another 4-6 weeks.
- Kevin Love (Cavaliers): Love has a hairline fracture in his right thumb and will be evaluated daily according to Shams Charania.
- Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Udonis Haslem (Heat): Haslem did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent did not play in Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
The Cavaliers are shooting 43% from three (91/211) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (170/426) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Cavaliers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (929 points/675 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have averaged 5.6 steals per game (73 steals/13 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (443 rebounds/13 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Cavaliers have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,188 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (640 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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