Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 6

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | NBSB

The Miami Heat visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Boston, MA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Celtics Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 28-23 against the spread, while the Celtics are 29-22 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Celtics vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 66.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Celtics.

Celtics vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.5% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 40 away games (+17.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+17.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 28-23 (+2.7 Units / 4.72% ROI).

• 27-25 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.24% ROI)
• 27-24 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.05% ROI)
• 24-27 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -9.97% ROI)

Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 29-22 (+4.8 Units / 8.56% ROI).

• 33-18 against the Moneyline (-3.75 Units / -2.79% ROI)
• 19-32 against the Over for game total points (-16.2 Units / -28.88% ROI)
• 32-19 against the Under for game total points (+11.1 Units / 19.79% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:

• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games at home (-21.74 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-18.70 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-17.80 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.20 Units / -35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 games (-22.80 Units / -50% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.75 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.85 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.69 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.45 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Boston Celtics Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Boston Celtics Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Heat were 10-1 (.909) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762

The Heat are 29-5 (.853) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .760

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Heat are 47-9 (.839) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Celtics are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Celtics are 61-26 (.701) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Celtics are 52-11 (.825) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .617

The Celtics are 101-21 (.828) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (549 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat have averaged 27.6 points in the paint per game (1,434 points/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1

The Heat averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,213 points/1,016 shots) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Celtics have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (613 turnovers/51 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Celtics made 17.8 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (812 blocks/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (407 blocks/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,005 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics have allowed 41.1 points in the paint per game (2,094 points/51 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.6

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

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