Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 24

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDSM

The Miami Heat visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 1-0 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 1-0 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Grizzlies vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.2% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 away games (+20.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 31 away games (+20.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 away games (+19.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2H Spread in 51 of their last 84 games (+16.76 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.36 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• 0-1 against the Moneyline (-1 Units / -100% ROI)
• 1-0 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
• 0-1 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• 1-0 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 58.82% ROI)
• 1-0 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
• 0-1 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 55 games (-40.15 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 57 games (-24.75 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 75 games (-24.45 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-23.50 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.27 Units / -22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.83 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 87 games (-23.07 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 58 games (-22.80 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 52 games (-22.35 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 68 games (-21.92 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Heat averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,213 points/1,016 shots) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 50% in the first half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,213 points/1,016 shots) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 50% in the first half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,213 points/1,016 shots) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 50% in the first half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

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