Heat vs Hawks Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Dec. 26

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDSE

The Miami Heat visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 15-14 against the spread, while the Hawks are 14-17 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Hawks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hawks.

Hawks vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 67.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 45 away games (+26.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 away games (+25.55 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 84 games (+23.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 84 games (+20.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 68 games (+19.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 78 games (+9.37 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 15-14 (-0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI).

• 15-15 against the Moneyline (-3 Units / -5.89% ROI)
• 14-15 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -7.58% ROI)
• 15-14 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI)

Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 14-17 (-4.65 Units / -13.66% ROI).

• 15-16 against the Moneyline (-5.6 Units / -10.67% ROI)
• 18-13 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI)
• 13-18 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:

• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 85 games (-29.65 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.70 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 82 games (-22.50 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.45 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 68 games (-19.10 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 90 games (-34.83 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-29.99 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-27.03 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 87 games (-24.80 Units / -16% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-24.25 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (313 points/30 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat shot 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks have 286 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (313 points/30 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat shot 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks have 286 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (313 points/30 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat shot 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks have 286 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

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