- The Heat (24-20) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (21-22)
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Monday, January 16, 2023 at 3:30pm EST
- Watch the game on TNT & TNT
The Miami Heat visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Atlanta.
The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Heat vs Hawks Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 18-24 against the spread, while the Hawks are 17-25 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +1.5 -115 | O 222.5 -110 | +100 |
Atlanta Hawks | -1.5 -105 | U 222.5 -110 | -120 |
Hawks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Monday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 59 of their last 98 games (+12.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.76 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+9.78 Units / 15% ROI)
Hawks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 75 games (+19.77 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+10.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.83 Units / 25% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 18-24 (-8.4 Units / -17.36% ROI).
- 24-20 against the Moneyline (-12.3 Units / -14.59% ROI)
- 19-24 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.29% ROI)
- 24-19 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.41% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 17-25 (-10.5 Units / -22.2% ROI).
- 21-22 against the Moneyline (-8.85 Units / -11.64% ROI)
- 23-20 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 2.11% ROI)
- 20-23 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -11.21% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Hawks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-29.52 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 88 games (-25.09 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 82 games (-23.79 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 85 games (-22.02 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 54 games (-16.60 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 98 games (-24.29 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.50 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 games (-19.40 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 94 games (-18.00 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hawks are 21-14 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Hawks are 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606
The Hawks are 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Hawks are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
Injury Report: Hawks vs. Heat – Monday‘s Game, Jan. 16
- Trae Young (Hawks): Young is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Miami.
- Clint Capela (Hawks): Capela is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Miami.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is sidelined for 4 weeks with a lower-back stress reaction and will then be re-evaluated.
- Udonis Haslem (Heat): Haslem is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Atlanta.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is out for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Atlanta.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson will have surgery and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
- Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Atlanta.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks are shooting 28% from three (49/178) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Hawks are shooting 29% from three (62/210) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Hawks have averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,497 points/1,235 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Hawks have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (667 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,170 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (558 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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