Heat vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

• The Hornets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Heat
• Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Miami Heat visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Charlotte, NC.

The Hornets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-102).

The Heat vs Hornets Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 45-36 against the spread, while the Hornets are 50-31 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Hornets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hornets will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hornets.

Hornets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+15.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 45 away games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+21.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 40 games at home (+20.82 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 35 games (+20.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+18.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 45-36 (+5.4 Units / 5.98% ROI).

• 43-39 against the Moneyline (-2.2 Units / -1.17% ROI)
• 46-34 against the Over for game total points (+8.6 Units / 9.53% ROI)
• 34-46 against the Under for game total points (-16.6 Units / -18.4% ROI)

Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 50-31 (+15.9 Units / 17.63% ROI).

• 44-38 against the Moneyline (+15.55 Units / 7.74% ROI)
• 31-51 against the Over for game total points (-25.1 Units / -27.83% ROI)
• 51-31 against the Under for game total points (+16.9 Units / 18.74% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:

• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 50 games (-27.65 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 40 games at home (-26.98 Units / -58% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.45 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.70 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.45 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.25 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-16.90 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games (-16.70 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 30 games (-15.10 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-14.35 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Heat are 32-18 (.640) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Heat are undefeated (30-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .905

The Heat are 8-25 (.242) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Heat are 3-14 (.176) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .411

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hornets are 25-84 (.229) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Hornets are 7-34 (.171) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Hornets are 32-131 (.196) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .343

The Hornets are 3-22 (.120) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 20.5 fast break points per game (841 points/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Heat have averaged 123.5 points per game (5,062 points/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.5

The Heat have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (835 points/81 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat have averaged 61.8 points per game (5,006 points/81 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (3,075 points/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Hornets have averaged 9.1 second chance points per game (744 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets have 20.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.3

The Hornets have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (941 blocks/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (484 blocks/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (347 blocks/81 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (8,796 rebounds/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,922 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Hornets have allowed 15.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,286 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Hornets have allowed 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (616 rebounds/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.7

The Hornets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (577 steals/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

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