Heat vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDCH

The Miami Heat visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Charlotte, NC.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Hornets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 40-27 against the spread, while the Hornets are 41-26 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Hornets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hornets will win Tuesday‘s game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hornets.

Hornets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 63.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+18.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 away games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+22.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 45 games (+19.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+17.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+17.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 40-27 (+10.3 Units / 13.76% ROI).

• 38-30 against the Moneyline (+4.3 Units / 3.18% ROI)
• 35-31 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.2% ROI)
• 31-35 against the Under for game total points (-7.5 Units / -10.03% ROI)

Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 41-26 (+12.4 Units / 16.58% ROI).

• 34-34 against the Moneyline (+12.35 Units / 11.12% ROI)
• 26-42 against the Over for game total points (-20.2 Units / -27.01% ROI)
• 42-26 against the Under for game total points (+13.4 Units / 17.91% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:

• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 50 games (-27.50 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 35 games at home (-23.30 Units / -58% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games at home (-21.94 Units / -63% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.55 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 14 games (-13.65 Units / -59% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.55 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.55 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.40 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.80 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Heat are 27-12 (.692) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Heat are 5-17 (.227) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Heat are 7-19 (.269) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Heat were 3-9 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hornets were 1-15 (.062) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Hornets are 7-33 (.175) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 19.7 fast break points per game (690 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Heat have averaged 61.9 points per game (4,144 points/67 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0

The Heat have averaged 122.3 points per game (4,282 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

The Heat have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (1,222 points/67 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets shot 43% (3,142/7,308) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Hornets have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (2,885 points/232 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (887 blocks/231 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,507 rebounds/67 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have allowed 12.1 second chance points per game (448 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Hornets have allowed 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,060 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Hornets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,649 steals/232 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Hornets have averaged 6.6 steals per game (743 steals/113 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

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