Heat vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 6

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDCH | WSOC

The Miami Heat visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Charlotte, NC.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Hornets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 36-26 against the spread, while the Hornets are 41-21 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Hornets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hornets will win Friday‘s game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hornets.

Hornets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+18.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 away games (+15.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+26.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 45 games (+20.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+20.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 35 games at home (+19.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.20 Units / 34% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 36-26 (+7.4 Units / 10.68% ROI).

• 34-29 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 0.63% ROI)
• 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.44% ROI)
• 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.5% ROI)

Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 41-21 (+17.9 Units / 25.83% ROI).

• 32-31 against the Moneyline (+15.95 Units / 16.7% ROI)
• 24-39 against the Over for game total points (-18.9 Units / -27.27% ROI)
• 39-24 against the Under for game total points (+12.6 Units / 18.18% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:

• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 50 games (-26.25 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 35 games at home (-25.45 Units / -63% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.30 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games at home (-21.94 Units / -63% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.45 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.00 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.70 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.85 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Heat are 1-5 (.167) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .239

The Heat are 11-14 (.440) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Heat are 18-10 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

The Heat are 47-21 (.691) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hornets were 2-30 (.062) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Hornets are 9-35 (.205) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 122.0 points per game (3,782 points/31 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.8

The Heat shot 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have averaged 54.9 points in the paint per game (3,406 points/62 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Heat have averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (988 points/62 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Hornets had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets have averaged 9.0 second chance points per game (566 points/63 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets shot 43% (3,142/7,308) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (435 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,326 rebounds/62 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets have allowed 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (491 rebounds/33 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.8

The Hornets have allowed 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (490 rebounds/63 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 9.0

The Hornets have averaged 6.6 steals per game (738 steals/112 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

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