- The Favorite Team are Favorite Spread favorites vs. the Underdog Team
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on Broadcast Home
The visit to take on the on . Tipoff is scheduled for in .
The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The vs Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the are 24-20 against the spread, while the are 25-20 against the spread.
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vs. Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| O | |||
| U |
vs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win ‘s game with 68.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both and .
vs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for ‘s game with 63.5% confidence.
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Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 45 away games (+22.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+19.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 45 away games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games at home (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 57% ROI)
Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 24-20 (+2 Units / 4.04% ROI).
- 23-22 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.49% ROI)
- 23-21 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.2% ROI)
- 21-23 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -8.69% ROI)
Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 25-20 (+3 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- 15-30 against the Moneyline (+9.5 Units / 20.3% ROI)
- 28-17 against the Over for game total points (+9.3 Units / 18.79% ROI)
- 17-28 against the Under for game total points (-13.8 Units / -27.88% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-22.20 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.40 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.40 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.80 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.15 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-17.00 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.05 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 away games (-14.54 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.45 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 away games (-13.35 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Away team
- Keys to Winning for the Home team
- Player Injuries for Away vs. Home
- Away Offensive stats
- Home Offensive stats
- Away Defensive stats
- Home Defensive stats
: Keys to the Game vs. the
The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354
The Heat are 2-13 (.133) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391
The Heat are 9-16 (.360) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
: Keys to the Game vs. the
The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Jazz are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Jazz are 4-14 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Jazz are 2-59 (.033) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188
Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,213 points/1,016 shots) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (798 points/45 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (703 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Jazz have averaged 16.7 turnovers per game (2,121 turnovers/127 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Jazz had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,093 assists/ 1,412 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (786 blocks/209 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (394 blocks/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,646 rebounds/45 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have allowed 127.4 points per game (5,732 points/45 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 116.0
The Jazz allowed 18.4 fast break points per game (1,510 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (2,797 points/1,960 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32
The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.38 points per shot (5,732 points/4,145 shots) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30
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