Heat vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

• The Heat are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings
• Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
• Watch the game on FSUN | NSCA

The Miami Heat visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Kings Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 23-19 against the spread, while the Kings are 17-26 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Kings vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Kings.

Kings vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+19.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+17.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+13.85 Units / 109% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.05 Units / 37% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 23-19 (+2.1 Units / 4.44% ROI).

• 22-21 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.51% ROI)
• 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)
• 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 17-26 (-11.6 Units / -24.52% ROI).

• 12-31 against the Moneyline (+2.15 Units / 4.59% ROI)
• 19-24 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.64% ROI)
• 24-19 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.40 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 45 games (-19.65 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.85 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-16.65 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.80 Units / -36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games (-15.85 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.85 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-14.05 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.65 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-12.93 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Heat are 7-10 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Heat are undefeated (25-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .901

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Kings have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have a TS% of 47% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have an eFG% of 53% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are 7-10 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Heat are undefeated (25-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .901

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have a TS% of 47% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have an eFG% of 53% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are 7-10 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Heat are undefeated (25-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .901

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have a TS% of 47% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have an eFG% of 53% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

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