Basketball
Miami HeatSacramento Kings

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 29

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 6:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Sacramento.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Heat vs Kings Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 1-5 against the spread, while the Kings are 2-2 against the spread.

Bet now on Kings vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM

Heat vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-3.5 -115O 227.5 -110-165
Sacramento Kings +3.5 -105U 227.5 -110140

Kings vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the will win Saturday‘s game with confidence.

Kings vs Heat Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 85 games (+19.26 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 94 games (+14.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.26 Units / 30% ROI)
    •
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.44 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+6.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
    •

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 1-5 (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

    • 2-4 against the Moneyline (-4.7 Units / -48.21% ROI)
    • 3-3 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 3-3 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 0-4 against the Moneyline (-4.5 Units / -100% ROI)
    • 1-3 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
    • 3-1 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 82 games (-31.52 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-30.02 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-27.91 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 77 games (-21.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.17 Units / -23% ROI)
    •
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 games (-29.62 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 89 games (-29.23 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 89 games (-24.78 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-19.99 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-17.80 Units / -18% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

    The Miami Heat were 25-9 (.735) when they win the turnover margin last season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,111 turnovers/82 games) last season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

    The Miami Heat were 36-8 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for seventh-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings averaged 42.9 rebounds per game (3,521 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Heat were 29-8 (.784) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

    The Heat were 39-6 (.867) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

    Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

    The Kings were 2-13 (.133) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Kings were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200

    The Kings are 7-20 (.259) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

    The Kings were 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .251

    Injury Report: Kings vs. Heat – Saturday‘s Game, Oct. 29

  • Kevin Huerter (Kings): The Kings have listed Huerter as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Oct. 29) against the Heat.
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  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo isn’t traveling with the team for their upcoming three-game road trip, according to Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): Yurtseven says his goal is to be back within a week.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): The Heat have listed Dedmon as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Oct. 29) against the Kings.
    •

    Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat shot 39% from three (562/1,461) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat shot 38% from three (1,100/2,888) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat averaged 40.8 points in the paint per game (1,634 points/40 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.4

    The Heat averaged 20.5 points in the paint per game (1,658 points/81 games) in the second half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

    Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Kings had an eFG% of 53% last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Kings averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,111 turnovers/82 games) last season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Kings averaged 49.0 points in the paint per game (4,014 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

    The Kings averaged 26% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,908 free throw attempts/7,222 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 5th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

    Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat averaged 3.2 blocks per game (260 blocks/81 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (546 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (277 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

    The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (269 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Kings have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,044 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Kings have allowed 116.5 points per game (17,947 points/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 110.8

    The Kings have allowed 116.7 points per game (8,989 points/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 110.2

    The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (944/2,547) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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