- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FSUN | MSG
The Miami Heat visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in New York, NY.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Knicks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 15-13 against the spread, while the Knicks are 18-10 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| New York Knicks | U |
Knicks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Sunday‘s game with 74.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Knicks.
Knicks vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 67.3% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+26.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 44 away games (+25.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 away games (+24.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 82 games (+21.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+10.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 15-13 (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).
- 15-13 against the Moneyline (+0.1 Units / 0.21% ROI)
- 13-14 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI)
- 14-13 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 18-10 (+7 Units / 22.73% ROI).
- 20-8 against the Moneyline (+7.95 Units / 9.22% ROI)
- 15-13 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI)
- 13-15 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 97 games (-31.50 Units / -21% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 98 games (-24.95 Units / -15% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 96 games (-22.45 Units / -20% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.95 Units / -22% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.80 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 88 games (-32.33 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-27.45 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.73 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.05 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 85 games (-21.70 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- New York Knicks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- New York Knicks Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,063 rebounds/28 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (729 blocks/192 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Heat are 14-3 (.824) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637
The Heat are 38-18 (.679) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,063 rebounds/28 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (729 blocks/192 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat are 14-3 (.824) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637
The Heat are 38-18 (.679) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,063 rebounds/28 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (729 blocks/192 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat are 14-3 (.824) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637
The Heat are 38-18 (.679) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
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