Heat vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (29-23) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Knicks (27-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Thursday, February 2, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on MSG & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New York.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Heat vs Knicks Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 21-29 against the spread, while the Knicks are 26-24 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-1.5 -115O 215.5 -105-130
New York Knicks +1.5 -105U 215.5 -105+110

Knicks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday‘s game with 59.3% confidence.

Knicks vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Knicks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.84 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+9.36 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 82 games (+27.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 78 games (+24.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.34 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 79 games (+13.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 71 games (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 21-29 (-10.9 Units / -19.06% ROI).

  • 29-23 against the Moneyline (-11.45 Units / -11.53% ROI)
  • 22-29 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -17.31% ROI)
  • 29-22 against the Under for game total points (+4.8 Units / 8.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 26-24 (-0.35 Units / -0.61% ROI).

  • 27-25 against the Moneyline (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 27-23 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 2.97% ROI)
  • 23-27 against the Under for game total points (-6.7 Units / -11.71% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-29.83 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 81 games (-26.56 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.44 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.67 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 55 games (-21.89 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-20.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 96 games (-17.85 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 67 games (-17.36 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-17.20 Units / -22% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Heat are 42-20 (.677) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Heat are 30-15 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Heat are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Heat are 32-13 (.711) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Knicks are 18-28 (.391) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Knicks are 35-64 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Knicks are 23-7 (.767) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

The Knicks are 21-60 (.259) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Injury Report: Knicks vs. HeatThursday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Mitchell Robinson (Knicks): The Knicks announced that Robinson underwent surgery for a fractured right thumb and will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb. 2) game against New York.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo is doubtful for Thursday’s (Feb. 2) game against New York.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is sidelined for 4 weeks with a lower-back stress reaction and will then be re-evaluated.
  • Orlando Robinson (Heat): Robinson is out for Wednesday’s (Feb. 1) game against New York.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson will have surgery and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 51.6 points per game (2,479 points/48 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.9

The Heat have averaged 108.6 points per game (5,215 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.2

The Heat are shooting 31% from three (256/816) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have averaged 42.7 points in the paint per game (2,776 points/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks are shooting 43% (2,390/5,514) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Knicks have averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (642 rebounds/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Knicks have averaged 10.1 assists per game (2,050 assists/202 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Knicks are shooting 44% (3,706/8,507) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (195 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (695 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (144 blocks/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (409 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (308 steals/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,633 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Knicks have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,028 rebounds/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Knicks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,385 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.