Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 4

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (20-18) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (16-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 4, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Lakers Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 14-22 against the spread, while the Lakers are 15-21 against the spread.


Bet now on Lakers vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Heat vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-8.5 -110O 226.5 -105-350
Los Angeles Lakers +8.5 -110U 226.5 -105+260

Lakers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.1% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Lakers vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 62 of their last 100 games (+17.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.32 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.04 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 80 games (+20.64 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+19.06 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.84 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+16.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 14-22 (-10.2 Units / -24.4% ROI).

  • 20-18 against the Moneyline (-11.85 Units / -16.14% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -6.94% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 15-21 (-8.15 Units / -20% ROI).

  • 16-21 against the Moneyline (-2.95 Units / -6.44% ROI)
  • 22-15 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 13.51% ROI)
  • 15-22 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -22.6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 80 games (-31.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-23.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 33 games at home (-19.45 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 96 games (-24.02 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-21.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 28 games (-20.99 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 games (-18.95 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.85 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Lakers are 11-25 (.306) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Lakers are 3-12 (.200) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Lakers are 5-8 (.385) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Lakers are 27-36 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Lakers vs. HeatWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 4

  • Lonnie Walker IV (Lakers): Walker is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Miami.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Miami.
  • Russell Westbrook (Lakers): Westbrook is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Miami.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Davis is dealing with a stress injury in his right foot. The team announced that there is no timetable for his return.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is sidelined for 4 weeks with a lower-back stress reaction and will then be re-evaluated.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Los Angeles.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Los Angeles.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Los Angeles.
  • Udonis Haslem (Heat): Haslem is questionable for Wedensday’s (Jan.4) game against Los Angeles.
  • Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Los Angeles.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7

The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers are shooting 31% from three (124/404) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Lakers are shooting 32% from three (67/208) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Lakers have averaged 55.5 points in the paint per game (722 points/13 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (284 blocks/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers have blocked 867 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Lakers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (396 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


Bet now on Lakers vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.