- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SUN | YES
The Miami Heat visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Brooklyn, NY, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Nets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 22-27 against the spread, while the Nets are 26-24 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Nets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| Brooklyn Nets | U |
Nets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Nets.
Nets vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.1% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 away games (+17.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 away games (+15.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+10.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.85 Units / 71% ROI)
Nets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+21.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 53 games (+18.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+17.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 62 games (+14.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+13.57 Units / 14% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 22-27 (-7.7 Units / -14.29% ROI).
- 25-24 against the Moneyline (-2.85 Units / -3.31% ROI)
- 27-22 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 5.19% ROI)
- 22-27 against the Under for game total points (-7.7 Units / -14.29% ROI)
Brooklyn Nets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 26-24 (-0.45 Units / -0.8% ROI).
- 17-34 against the Moneyline (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- 23-28 against the Over for game total points (-7.8 Units / -13.9% ROI)
- 28-23 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nets:
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-29.85 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-25.57 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 33 games at home (-20.40 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.40 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 54 games (-16.75 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-18.58 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 42 away games (-14.35 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 42 away games (-13.05 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 43 away games (-13.00 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Brooklyn Nets
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Brooklyn Nets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Brooklyn Nets Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat are 19-43 (.306) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339
The Heat are 4-12 (.250) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Nets are 3-13 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Nets are 5-22 (.185) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
The Nets are 3-22 (.120) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game this season — 10th-lowest in the NBA.
The Nets are 4-11 (.267) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (558 points/49 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nets have averaged 51.4 points per game (2,621 points/51 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.2
The Nets have averaged 22.3 points in the paint per game (4,196 points/188 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Nets have averaged 102.3 points per game (2,352 points/23 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1
The Nets have averaged 43.0 points in the paint per game (2,192 points/51 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nets have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,641 rebounds/51 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nets have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,470 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nets have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,509 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,308 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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