Heat vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Nov. 5

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | ALT | KTVD | KUSA

The Miami Heat visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 5-2 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 3-3 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 68.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+20.90 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 35 away games (+20.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 61 games (+18.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 47 games at home (+21.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

• 4-3 against the Moneyline (+3.05 Units / 39.1% ROI)
• 5-2 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI)
• 2-5 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 4-2 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 3.06% ROI)
• 4-2 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI)
• 2-4 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 47 games at home (-28.05 Units / -52% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-24.47 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 61 games (-23.80 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 94 games (-23.56 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 95 games (-20.94 Units / -15% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.18 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.28 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 57 games (-22.00 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 74 games (-21.87 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 67 games (-20.43 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Heat have averaged 1.38 points per shot (867 points/629 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (994 points/84 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Heat have averaged 53.5 points per game (9,155 points/171 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat are shooting 50% (316/629) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (104 assists/ 38 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 1.38 points per shot (867 points/629 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (994 points/84 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Heat have averaged 53.5 points per game (9,155 points/171 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat are shooting 50% (316/629) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (104 assists/ 38 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 1.38 points per shot (867 points/629 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (994 points/84 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Heat have averaged 53.5 points per game (9,155 points/171 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat are shooting 50% (316/629) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (104 assists/ 38 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

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