Heat vs Pacers Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 29

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDIN

The Miami Heat visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00 pm in Indianapolis, IN.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Pacers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 42-31 against the spread, while the Pacers are 34-40 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pacers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pacers.

Pacers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+17.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.65 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.38 Units / 24% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 42-31 (+7.9 Units / 9.7% ROI).

• 39-35 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI)
• 40-32 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 5.9% ROI)
• 32-40 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -14.74% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 34-40 (-10 Units / -12.29% ROI).

• 16-58 against the Moneyline (-29.3 Units / -35.34% ROI)
• 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.60 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-19.10 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.75 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.30 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.85 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 games (-15.05 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.25 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 24 games (-12.30 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-12.20 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Indiana Pacers Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Heat are 3-9 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .398

The Heat are 7-6 (.538) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .602

The Heat are 15-17 (.469) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Heat are 9-17 (.346) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Pacers are 4-24 (.143) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Pacers are 9-34 (.209) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Pacers are 8-29 (.216) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pacers are 7-37 (.159) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.2 fast break points per game (745 points/73 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Heat have averaged 122.1 points per game (4,519 points/37 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.3

The Heat have averaged 120.3 points per game (8,784 points/73 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Heat have averaged 28.7 assists per game (2,095 assists/73 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 21.9 points in the paint per game (1,622 points/74 games) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,344 assists/ 1,609 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pacers have averaged 1.26 points per shot (8,281 points/6,582 shots) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pacers have averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (932 points/74 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (908 blocks/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (462 blocks/119 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (446 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (628 blocks/155 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have allowed 28.1 points in the paint per game (6,680 points/238 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.0

The Pacers have allowed 11.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.2

The Pacers have averaged 7.3 steals per game (540 steals/74 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pacers have allowed 55.2 points in the paint per game (13,142 points/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.6

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