- The Heat (12-15) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (14-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Monday, December 12, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSIN & BSSUN
The Miami Heat visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Pacers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 8-18 against the spread, while the Pacers are 15-12 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | -3.5 -110 | O 228.5 -110 | -160 |
Indiana Pacers | +3.5 -110 | U 228.5 -110 | +135 |
Pacers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 57.6% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 60 of their last 99 games (+13.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 56 of their last 99 games (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 99 games (+9.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.77 Units / 14% ROI)
Pacers Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 79 games (+22.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 46 of their last 72 games (+18.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+14.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 8-18 (-11.8 Units / -39.73% ROI).
- 12-15 against the Moneyline (-15.8 Units / -29.26% ROI)
- 14-12 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI)
- 12-14 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.45% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 15-12 (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- 14-13 against the Moneyline (+8.2 Units / 22.59% ROI)
- 12-15 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
- 15-12 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Pacers, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 80 games (-41.10 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 80 games (-38.20 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 79 games (-30.10 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-24.35 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-23.45 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 100 games (-28.64 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 61 games (-22.31 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-21.60 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 99 games (-21.54 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 61 games (-20.78 Units / -31% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454
The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494
The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199
Injury Report: Pacers vs. Heat – Monday‘s Game, Dec. 12
- Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis underwent surgery and is considered out indefinitely, according to Tony East of WTHR Channel 13 Indianapolis.
- Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a grade 2 ankle sprain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Indiana.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Indiana.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Indiana.
- Max Strus (Heat): Strus is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Indiana.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Indiana.
- Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is out for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Indiana.
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Indiana.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2
The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8
The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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