Heat vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 1

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDDX

The Miami Heat visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 18-14 against the spread, while the Pistons are 18-15 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pistons vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Thursday‘s game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pistons.

Pistons vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 45 away games (+26.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+24.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 87 games (+22.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 87 games (+21.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 46 of their last 74 games (+16.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 62 games (+15.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 18-14 (+2.6 Units / 7.16% ROI).

• 18-15 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.63% ROI)
• 16-16 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -4.41% ROI)
• 16-16 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -4.41% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 18-15 (+1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

• 25-8 against the Moneyline (+11.9 Units / 14.1% ROI)
• 17-16 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI)
• 16-17 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-25.30 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 78 games (-21.33 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.00 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2H Spread in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.30 Units / -19% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 90 games (-32.73 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-26.99 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.03 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 90 games (-22.00 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 90 games (-21.45 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (203 blocks/33 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.1 steals per game (332 steals/33 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,515 steals/197 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Heat are 6-8 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Heat were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat are 7-17 (.292) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (203 blocks/33 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.1 steals per game (332 steals/33 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,515 steals/197 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are 6-8 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Heat were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat are 7-17 (.292) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (203 blocks/33 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.1 steals per game (332 steals/33 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,515 steals/197 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are 6-8 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Heat were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat are 7-17 (.292) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

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