Heat vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 7

• The Raptors are -1.5 favorites vs. the Heat
• Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
• Watch the game on FSUN | TSN

The Miami Heat visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Toronto, ON.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Raptors Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 43-34 against the spread, while the Raptors are 39-38 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Raptors vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Tuesday‘s game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Raptors.

Raptors vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 60.2% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 43-34 (+5.6 Units / 6.52% ROI).

• 41-37 against the Moneyline (-2.2 Units / -1.31% ROI)
• 43-33 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 7.81% ROI)
• 33-43 against the Under for game total points (-14.3 Units / -16.67% ROI)

Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 39-38 (-2.8 Units / -3.26% ROI).

• 43-35 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.22% ROI)
• 31-47 against the Over for game total points (-20.7 Units / -24.13% ROI)
• 47-31 against the Under for game total points (+12.9 Units / 15.04% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:

• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 25 games (-17.85 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.30 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.00 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.25 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-10.32 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 24 games (-17.90 Units / -49% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-15.60 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 24 games (-14.65 Units / -53% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.10 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Toronto Raptors Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Heat are 1-7 (.125) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212

The Heat are 55-12 (.821) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .709

The Heat are 8-20 (.286) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The Heat are undefeated (30-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .904

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Raptors are 3-12 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .381

The Raptors are 23-8 (.742) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Raptors are 3-16 (.158) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212

The Raptors are 34-93 (.268) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 123.0 points per game (4,919 points/40 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.4

The Heat have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (797 points/77 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Heat have 25.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

The Heat have averaged 61.9 points per game (4,763 points/77 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (4,487 points/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 fast break points per game (2,159 points/242 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Raptors are shooting 34% from three (1,362/3,958) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Raptors have averaged 30.1 assists per game (1,204 assists/40 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (931 blocks/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (651 blocks/159 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (450 blocks/119 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,229 rebounds/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Raptors have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,613 rebounds/78 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Raptors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,985 steals/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Raptors have 688 steals this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

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