- The Raptors (37-38) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Heat (40-35)
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
- Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on TNT & TNT
The Miami Heat visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Toronto.
The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Raptors Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 28-45 against the spread, while the Raptors are 37-36 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +5.5 -110 | O 218.5 -115 | +170 |
Toronto Raptors | -5.5 -110 | U 218.5 -115 | -210 |
Raptors vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Tuesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.
Raptors vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.57 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+11.19 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.13 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 28-45 (-21.5 Units / -26.04% ROI).
- 40-35 against the Moneyline (-16.6 Units / -11.6% ROI)
- 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.58% ROI)
- 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 37-36 (-2.6 Units / -3.15% ROI).
- 37-38 against the Moneyline (-18.8 Units / -12.38% ROI)
- 40-33 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 4.48% ROI)
- 33-40 against the Under for game total points (-11 Units / -13.33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 89 games (-24.75 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 49 games (-23.18 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.82 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games (-20.60 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 49 games (-20.07 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 75 games (-24.26 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-23.90 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-23.80 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 95 games (-23.35 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.13 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Heat are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Heat are 104-75 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
The Heat are 18-8 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Heat are 18-11 (.621) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513
Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Raptors are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723
The Raptors are 17-27 (.386) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
The Raptors are 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
The Raptors are 10-3 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696
Injury Report: Raptors vs. Heat – Tuesday‘s Game, Mar. 28
- Dalano Banton (Raptors): Banton hasn’t played since Feb. 26 against Cleveland and remains without a timetable to return.
- Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
- Joe Wieskamp (Raptors): Wieskamp is doubtful to play in Tuesday’s (Mar 28.) games against the Heat.
- Gary Trent Jr. (Raptors): Trent Jr. is questionable to play in Tuesday’s (Mar 28.) games against the Heat.
- Will Barton (Raptors): Will Barton is doubtful to play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against the Heat.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is out for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Toronto and Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against New York.
- Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Toronto.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 109.1 points per game (7,748 points/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5
The Heat have averaged 107.6 points per game (3,658 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1
The Heat have averaged 52.2 points per game (3,707 points/71 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (1,366 turnovers/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Raptors have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (813 turnovers/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2
The Raptors have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (894 turnovers/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Raptors have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (390 turnovers/68 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (379 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (771 blocks/225 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (241 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (220 blocks/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,951 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Raptors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,372 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Raptors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,987 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Raptors have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,416 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
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