Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (2-5) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Raptors (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 16, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Raptors Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 3-11 against the spread, while the Raptors are 8-7 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+1.5 -110O 215.5 -110100
Toronto Raptors -1.5 -110U 215.5 -110-120

Raptors vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

Raptors vs Heat Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+16.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+14.54 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 89 games (+13.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+12.26 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.44 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 33 games (+16.28 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games (+15.18 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.74 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.89 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 3-11 (-9.1 Units / -59.09% ROI).

  • 7-7 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -17.46% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 8-7 (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 8-7 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -1.24% ROI)
  • 8-7 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI)
  • 7-8 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-23.31 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 48 games (-22.70 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 48 games (-16.58 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.39 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games at home (-15.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 93 games (-28.96 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 97 games (-28.24 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.53 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 96 games (-20.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 48 games (-19.01 Units / -36% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Raptors vs. HeatWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 16

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): Porter Jr. is out for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Miami.
  • Fred VanVleet (Raptors): VanVleet is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Miami.
  • Pascal Siakam (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Siakam has a right adductor strain and will be reevaluated in two weeks.
  • Gary Trent Jr. (Raptors): Trent Jr. is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Miami.
  • Precious Achiuwa (Raptors): Achiuwa is out indefinitely, according to Vivek Jacbo of Raptors.com.
  • Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Toronto.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Toronto.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is out for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Toronto.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7

The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.