- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FSUN | FDSW
The Miami Heat visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 4-0 against the spread, while the Spurs are 3-1 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| San Antonio Spurs | U |
Spurs vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Thursday‘s game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Spurs.
Spurs vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 59.7% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 away games (+21.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 58 games (+21.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 32 away games (+21.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 58 games (+17.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 61% ROI)
Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 games (+16.09 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+13.85 Units / 105% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 4-0 (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- 3-1 against the Moneyline (+2.65 Units / 55.21% ROI)
- 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
- 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- 4-0 against the Moneyline (+4.35 Units / 46.52% ROI)
- 1-3 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
- 3-1 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 38 games at home (-19.75 Units / -46% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.83 Units / -21% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-17.90 Units / -38% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-16.60 Units / -19% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-15.00 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.98 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 64 games (-21.93 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 55 games (-21.30 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 71 games (-21.02 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 54 games (-20.65 Units / -33% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat shot 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
The Spurs had 20.0 free throw attempts per game in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Spurs had 21.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Spurs averaged 16.1 fast break points per game (1,324 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat shot 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
The Spurs had 20.0 free throw attempts per game in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Spurs had 21.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Spurs averaged 16.1 fast break points per game (1,324 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat shot 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
The Spurs had 20.0 free throw attempts per game in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Spurs had 21.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Spurs averaged 16.1 fast break points per game (1,324 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
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