- The Heat (13-15) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (11-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Wednesday, December 14, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSOK & BSSUN
The Miami Heat visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Thunder Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 9-18 against the spread, while the Thunder are 16-11 against the spread.
Bet now on Thunder vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | -2.5 -110 | O 222.5 -115 | -140 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +2.5 -110 | U 222.5 -115 | +115 |
Thunder vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Thunder vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 61 of their last 100 games (+14.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 56 of their last 100 games (+10.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.91 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Thunder Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 53 games (+27.52 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 61 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 83 games (+14.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 9-18 (-10.8 Units / -35.06% ROI).
- 13-15 against the Moneyline (-14.8 Units / -26.62% ROI)
- 14-13 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI)
- 13-14 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 16-11 (+3.95 Units / 13.32% ROI).
- 11-16 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 11.96% ROI)
- 16-10 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 16.84% ROI)
- 10-16 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -25.59% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Thunder, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 77 games (-37.90 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.90 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 63 games (-19.90 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-19.74 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-18.90 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 100 games (-26.64 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (-23.51 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-21.86 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (-17.05 Units / -11% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141
The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Heat – Wednesday‘s Game, Dec. 14
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): Williams is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Miami.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
- Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Max Strus (Heat): Strus is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Bet now on Thunder vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
