Heat vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 6

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC | FDSN

The Miami Heat visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 20-15 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 15-21 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Timberwolves vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 46 away games (+27.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 away games (+25.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 90 games (+24.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 57 of their last 90 games (+22.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 62 of their last 84 games (+31.16 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 62 of their last 99 games (+23.37 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 62 of their last 95 games (+21.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 59 of their last 95 games (+19.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 20-15 (+3.5 Units / 8.84% ROI).

• 20-16 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 3.23% ROI)
• 17-18 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -7.07% ROI)
• 18-17 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.77% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 15-21 (-8.15 Units / -20.55% ROI).

• 23-13 against the Moneyline (-5.45 Units / -4.44% ROI)
• 17-19 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.85% ROI)
• 19-17 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.76% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 87 games (-40.15 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.00 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.15 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 97 games (-21.15 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 65 games (-18.85 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 87 games (-28.04 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 90 games (-27.73 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 35 of their last 89 games (-25.28 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 86 games (-21.50 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-19.10 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Heat have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (383 points/36 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Timberwolves are 12-6 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Timberwolves are 21-9 (.700) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639

The Timberwolves are 13-4 (.765) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .628

The Timberwolves are 61-26 (.701) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (383 points/36 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are 12-6 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Timberwolves are 21-9 (.700) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639

The Timberwolves are 13-4 (.765) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .628

The Timberwolves are 61-26 (.701) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (383 points/36 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are 12-6 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Timberwolves are 21-9 (.700) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639

The Timberwolves are 13-4 (.765) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .628

The Timberwolves are 61-26 (.701) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

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