Heat vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

• The are -3.5 favorites vs. the
• Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
• Watch the game on Broadcast Home

The visit to take on the on . Tipoff is scheduled for in .

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The vs Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the are 24-19 against the spread, while the are 25-19 against the spread.

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vs. Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

vs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win ‘s game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both and .

vs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for ‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

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Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 45 away games (+24.70 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 away games (+22.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 2H Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.16 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 24-19 (+3.1 Units / 6.41% ROI).

• 23-21 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units / 1.91% ROI)
• 22-21 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.27% ROI)
• 21-22 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.61% ROI)

Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 25-19 (+4.1 Units / 8.47% ROI).

• 22-22 against the Moneyline (+8.15 Units / 14.05% ROI)
• 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :

• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 30 games (-17.70 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-11.75 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-11.55 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-11.45 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 30 games (-11.40 Units / -32% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :

• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.95 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games (-16.05 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.65 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 away games (-14.54 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 away games (-11.90 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Away team
• Keys to Winning for the Home team
• Player Injuries for Away vs. Home
• Away Offensive stats
• Home Offensive stats
• Away Defensive stats
• Home Defensive stats

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Heat are 2-13 (.133) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Heat are 19-9 (.679) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Heat are 7-10 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Trail Blazers were winless (0-20) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Trail Blazers are 6-11 (.353) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .372

The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (461 points/44 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,260 assists/ 629 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers averaged 104.7 points per game (4,292 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 16.8 turnovers per game (737 turnovers/44 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (392 blocks/104 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (782 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,511 rebounds/44 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,918 rebounds/208 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers blocked 433 shots last season — 8th most among NBA teams

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